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[" Eskom consequence criteria - Table 1"]
{"$rows_empty":58}
[{"$nulls":4},"LIKELIHOOD FACTOR - Table 2"]
[null,"Table 2 – Likelihood Criteria\nA likelihood category should be chosen on the basis of the chance that Eskom or its stakeholders could be affected at the chosen level of consequence\n"]
[]
[null,"Category",null,null,"Criteria"]
[null,"E",null,null,"• Could occur within \"days to 4 weeks\" or\n• Impact is imminent, or\n• ≥ 90% probability\n"]
[null,"D",null,null,"• Could occur within \" > 4 weeks to 12 months\" , or\n• Balance of probability will occur, or\n• ≥ 70% and  <90% probability\n"]
[null,"C",null,null,"• Could occur within \" > 12 months to years\", or\n• May occur shortly but a distinct probability it won’t, or\n• ≥ 20% and  <70% probability\n"]
[null,"B",null,null,"• Could occur in \" > 10 years to decades\", or\n• May occur but not anticipated, or\n•  ≥ 5% and  <20% probability\n"]
[null,"A",null,null,"• More than a \"100 year event\"\n• Exceptionally unlikely, even in the long term future\n• <5% probability\n"]
[]
[{"$nulls":4},"RISK MATRIX - Table 3"]
[null,"Consequences",6,"II","II","I","I","I"]
[null,null,5,"II","II","II","I","I"]
[null,null,4,"III","III","II","I","I"]
[null,null,3,"IV","III","II","II","I"]
[null,null,2,"IV","IV","III","II","II"]
[null,null,1,"IV","IV","III","III","III"]
[{"$nulls":3},"A","B","C","D","E"]
[{"$nulls":3},"Likelihood"]
[]
[]
[{"$nulls":3},"RISK CONTROL EFFECTIVENESS - Table 4"]
[null,"Table 4 – Risk Control Effectiveness Guide\nThe relative assessment of actual level of control that is currently present and effective compared with that reasonably achievable for that particular risk.\n"]
[]
[null,"RCE",null,null,"Guide"]
[null,"Fully effective",null,null,"Nothing more to be done except review and monitor the existing controls.  Controls are well designed for the risk, are largely preventative and address the root causes and Management believes that they are effective and reliable at all times.  Reactive controls only support preventative controls."]
[null,"Mostly Effective",null,null,"Most controls are designed correctly and are in place and effective.  Some more work to be done to improve operating effectiveness or Management has doubts about operational effectiveness and reliability."]
[null,"Mostly Ineffective",null,null,"While the design of controls may be largely correct in that they treat most of the root causes of the risk, they are not currently operationally very effective.  There may be an over-reliance on reactive controls, or some of the controls do not seem correctly designed in that they do not treat root causes.\n"]
[null,"None",null,null,"Virtually no credible control.  Management has no confidence that any degree of control is being achieved due to poor control design and/or very limited operational effectiveness."]
[]
[]
[]
[{"$nulls":3},"POTENTIAL EXPOSURE - Table 5"]
[null,"Potential Exposure"]
[]
[null,"Level of Potential Exposure",null,null,"Equivalent Financial Impact on Eskom (Rand Net Profit)"]
[null,"Beyond Eskom impact",null,null,"> R1b"]
[null,"Across Eskom Divisions impact",null,null,"≥ R200m"]
[null,"Divisional Impact",null,null,"≥ R 35m\n"]
[null,"Business Unit impact",null,null,"≥ R10m"]
[null,"Departmental Impact",null,null,"≥ R1m"]

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[]
[{"$nulls":8},"Document Identifier ","240-164598401 "]
[{"$nulls":3},"KUSILE POWER STATION",{"$nulls":4},"Effective Date","2023-07-01"]
[{"$nulls":3},"Integrated Risk Management Bow Tie Form",{"$nulls":4},"Review Date","2026-07-31"]
[{"$nulls":8},"Rev",2]
[null," Risk Assessment"]
[]
[null,"2. Causes (of the risk)",null,null,"1. Risk",null,null,"3. Consequences (of the risk, not of the causes)"]
[null,1,"Unidentified internal damage until disassembly",null,"Poor execution of Mechanical Evaporator Contract at Kusile Power Station",null,null,1,"Scope increase, delays, cost overruns"]
[null,2,"Welding defects or repair failures",{"$nulls":4},2,"Rework, safety hazards"]
[null,3,"Confined space entry",{"$nulls":4},3,"entrapment and Asphyxiation"]
[null,4,"Cost escalation of materials",{"$nulls":4},4,"Budget risk"]
[null,5,"Regulatory inspection requirements",{"$nulls":4},5,"Delays"]
[null,6,{"$nulls":5},6]
[null,7,{"$nulls":5},7]
[null,8,{"$nulls":5},8]
[null,9,{"$nulls":5},9]
[null,10,{"$nulls":5},10]
[null,11,{"$nulls":5},11]
[null,12,{"$nulls":5},12]
[null,13,{"$nulls":5},13]
[null,14,{"$nulls":5},14]
[null,15,{"$nulls":5},15]
[null,{"$f":"B23+1","v":16},{"$nulls":5},{"$f":"H23+1","v":16}]
[null,{"$f":"B24+1","v":17},{"$nulls":5},{"$f":"H24+1","v":17}]
[null,18,{"$nulls":5},18]
[null,19,{"$nulls":5},19]
[null,20,{"$nulls":5},20]
[null,21,{"$nulls":5},21]
[null,22,{"$nulls":5},22]
[null,23,{"$nulls":5},23]
[null,24,{"$nulls":5},24]
[null,25,{"$nulls":5},25]
[null,26,{"$nulls":5},26]
[null,27,{"$nulls":5},27]
[null,28,{"$nulls":5},28]
[null,29,{"$nulls":5},29]
[null,30,{"$nulls":5},30]
[null,31,{"$nulls":5},31]
[null,32,{"$nulls":5},32]
[null,33,{"$nulls":5},33]
[null,34,{"$nulls":5},34]
[null,35,{"$nulls":5},35]
[null,36,{"$nulls":5},36]
[null,37,{"$nulls":5},37]
[null,38,{"$nulls":5},38]
[null,39,{"$nulls":5},39]
[null,40,{"$nulls":5},40]
[null,41,{"$nulls":5},41]
[null,42,{"$nulls":5},42]
[null,43,{"$nulls":5},43]
[null,44,{"$nulls":5},44]
[null,45,{"$nulls":5},45]
[]
[null,"4.   Existing Controls for the Causes \n      (affecting the likelihood of the risk)",null,"Control Effectiveness","Control Owner",null,null,"5.   Existing Controls for the Consequences \n      (affecting the consequence of the risk)",null,"Control Effectiveness","Control Owner"]
[null,1,"Pre-shutdown inspection, endoscopic inspection, contingency clauses","Fully effective","Siboniso Dladla",null,null,1]
[null,2,"Resource vetting for compliace, compile TES ","Fully effective","Siboniso Dladla",null,null,2]
[null,3,"Permit-to-work, ventilation, gas testing","Fully effective","Siboniso Dladla",null,null,3]
[null,4,"Fixed-price quotes, escalation clauses, NEC ","Fully effective","Siboniso Dladla",null,null,4]
[null,5,"Early coordination with Environmental department","Fully effective","Siboniso Dladla",null,null,5]
[null,6,{"$nulls":5},6]
[null,7,{"$nulls":5},7]
[null,8,{"$nulls":5},8]
[null,9,{"$nulls":5},9]
{"$rows_empty":21}
[null,10,{"$nulls":5},10]
[null,11,{"$nulls":5},11]
[null,12,{"$nulls":5},12]
[null,13,{"$nulls":5},13]
[null,14,{"$nulls":5},14]
[]
[null,"Risk Control Effectiveness",null,"Consequence Factor","Likelihood Factor","Risk Rating",null,"Potential Exposure",null,"Risk Owner"]
[null,"ME",null,1,"D","III",null,"Departmental Impact",null,"Siboniso Dladla "]
[null,"Consequence factor reasoning:",null,null,"Likelihood factor reasoning:"]
[]
[null,"Tasks to improve control effectiveness\n(all controls not Fully Effective)",null,"Task Owner","Task Owner Acceptance (Signature)","Due Date",null,null,"Tasks to improve control effectiveness\n(all controls not Fully Effective)","Task Owner","Task Owner Acceptance (Signature)","Due Date"]
[null,1,"Conduct pre-shutdown borescope/endoscopic inspection.","Siboniso Dladla ",null,"09/12/2025",null,1]
[null,2,"Define “discovery work” protocol and pricing matrix","Siboniso Dladla ",null,"09/12/2025",null,2]
[null,3,"Establish a Variation Request workflow with descriptions, and cost estimate.","Siboniso Dladla ",null,"09/12/2025",null,3]
[null,4,"Include escalation/de-escalation clauses on NEC","Siboniso Dladla ",null,"09/12/2025",null,4]
[null,5,{"$nulls":5},5]
[null,6,{"$nulls":5},6]
[null,7,{"$nulls":5},7]
[null,8,{"$nulls":5},8]
[null,9,{"$nulls":5},9]
[null,10,{"$nulls":5},10]
{"$rows_empty":22}
[null,"New Treatment Tasks / Opportunities",null,"Task Owner","Task Owner Acceptance (Signature)","Due Date",null,"New Treatment Tasks / Opportunities",null,"Task Owner","Task Owner Acceptance (Signature)","Due Date"]
[null,1,{"$nulls":5},1]
[null,2,{"$nulls":5},2]
[null,3,{"$nulls":5},3]
[null,4,{"$nulls":5},4]
[null,5,{"$nulls":5},5]
{"$rows_empty":28}
[null,"DATE CAPTURED"]
[]
[]
[null,"COMPILED BY: ",{"$nulls":5},"ACCEPTED BY: "]
[null,"NAME",null,"Thabani Mbuyazi ",{"$nulls":3},"NAME",null,"Mzoliswa Mfungula "]
[null,"DESIGNATION",null,"Technician Maintenance ",{"$nulls":3},"DESIGNATION",null,"Senior Supervisor Maintenance "]
[null,"DATE",null,"09/12/2025",{"$nulls":3},"DATE",null,"09/12/2025"]
[null,"SIGNATURE",{"$nulls":5},"SIGNATURE"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"PARTICIPANTS",{"$nulls":5},"APPROVED BY: "]
[null,"NAME",null,"DESIGNATION","SIGNATURE",null,null,"NAME",null,"Abel Vuma "]
[null,1,"Thabani Mbuyazi","Technician Maintenance ",{"$nulls":3},"DESIGNATION",null,"Maintenance Group Manager "]
[null,2,"Mzoliswa Mfungula ","Senior Supervisor Maintenance ",{"$nulls":3},"DATE",null,"09/12/2025"]
[null,3,"Sboniso Dladla ","BOP Line Manager ",{"$nulls":3},"SIGNATURE"]
[null,4]
[null,5]
[null,6]
[null,7]
[null,8]
[null,9]
[null,10]